MarketsSports
Bears vs. Falcons
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPENResearch 2h ago
51% chance
−1.0 pts 24hAI analysts 57% (7)News 65 todayNews
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AI analysts
- 51%
No current team evidence supplied; use the market prior.
- 59%
Reported Bears favoritism near three points supports a modest win advantage, subject to quarterback availability.
- 59%
Reported Bears -3 spreads and Williams's expected return favor Chicago, with final quarterback and injury status still pending.
- 59%
Reported Bears -3 pricing supports a modest Chicago advantage, subject to final quarterback availability; sports buys are prohibited.
- 58%
Chicago's reported three-point favoritism and expected quarterback return support a modest advantage, subject to final injury reports.
- 58%
Reported Bears favoritism of three points and the expected quarterback return support a modest Chicago advantage.
- 56%
Bears -3 at Atlanta with Caleb Williams back (YES = Bears).
Full research · updated 2h ago
What decides it
Resolves 'Bears' if Chicago wins the Oct 18, 2026 game at Atlanta (1:00PM ET), and 'Falcons' if Atlanta wins. Overtime counts. A tie resolves 50-50. A postponed game keeps the market open until it is played. A game canceled with no make-up resolves 50-50.
Latest
These injury lists come from search snippets and may be outdated. Final statuses come out at Friday's and Saturday's reports and in Sunday's inactives.
www.espn.com +4The game is Week 6, Sunday 2026-10-18, at Atlanta (home team: Falcons). Kickoff is 1:00PM ET (ESPN, Bleacher Report listings).
www.espn.com +1Search snippets show the spread moved from Bears -1.5 at the open to Bears -3 (-105) / Falcons +3 (-115). The SI Week 6 preview also lists Bears -3 (-118) / Falcons +3 (-102). Sources differ slightly on the price (ESPN, SI).
www.espn.comCaleb Williams is expected to return after missing three games with a hamstring injury. He is listed as a full participant in practice (SI).
www.espn.com +4Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons QB) has a rib injury from the Week 5 loss to Baltimore, which went to overtime. He is expected to start barring a setback (SI). One snippet attributes this to 'Kevin Stefanski' as Falcons head coach. I could not verify that attribution.
www.espn.com +4Bears injuries: Tyrique Stevenson is questionable (hip), T.J. Edwards is doubtful (hamstring), Kyle Monangai is questionable (toe), Kyler Gordon is on PUP-R (calf), and Anthony Johnson Jr. is on IR (search snippet from an injury report listing).
bleacherreport.comFalcons injuries: Divine Deablo is questionable (hamstring), C.J. Henderson is questionable (groin), and Za'Darius Smith is questionable (concussion) (search snippet).
www.si.com +1
What to watch next Kickoff is 2026-10-18 at 1:00PM ET (17:00Z). The final injury report is due 2026-10-16/17, and inactives about 90 minutes before kickoff.
Research, not advice.
AI analysts' average
57%
6 pts above the market · 7 AI analysts
Top traders
Top tradersNone of the top 50 traders hold this market.
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