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Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?

News

56m
Alberta Referendum Poll Tracker - by Éric Grenier
The Writ
1h
Alberta independence referendum : Will separatists survive a loss ? - Dominican Republic Post – Caribbean News , Business , Travel & Culture
dominicanrepublicpost.com
4h
Alberta independence referendum: Will separatists survive a loss?
Al Jazeera
4h
Liberals and Conservatives urge 'decisive' Alberta referendum vote to remain in Canada
CBC
9h
Carney , Smith Appear at Joint Pro - Canada Event Ahead of Alberta Referendum
theepochtimes.com
10h
After Wainwright tragedy, Alberta’s referendum feels different
The Hub | More Signal. Less Noise.
10h
Tomorrow is Alberta Referendum Day – Vote REMAIN. Vote NO to the nine.
USW Canada
10h
Alberta and Québec referendums test Canadian unity amid hostility from the U . S .
theconversation.com
11h
LETTER: Alberta referendum should have only one question
Rocky Mountain Outlook
12h
'We’ve already won.' Alberta separatist leader vows to continue independence movement regardless of outcome of key vote on Monday
Fortune
14h
Alberta referendum built on lies , damned lies and hubristics
therecord.com
16h
Alberta separation referendum not very likely new poll shows
globalnews.ca
1d
Alberta separatists urged to stay the course despite referendum outcome
stcatharinesstandard.ca
1d
Alberta separatists say theyll keep fighting after independence vote
sitkasentinel.com
1d
Quebec sovereigntists distancing themselves from Alberta referendum
CityNews Montreal
1d
Alberta voters to decide on future referendum as separatism debate grows
wsbradio.com
1d
Days Before Alberta’s Referendum, Support for Remain Rises
Abacus Data
1d
Bell : Smith message for Alberta separatists on eve of the referendum
edmontonjournal.com
1d
Alberta Referendum: The Gap Widens as Voting Day Approaches
Leger
1d
Alberta support for Canada rises ahead of separation referendum
The Straits Times
1d
Will Alberta separation sentiment survive the referendum vote ?
ckom.com
1d
76% of decided voters in Alberta plan to vote to remain in Canada
Pollara Strategic Insights
1d
Separation , immigration , the Constitution : A look at Alberta referendum questions
cp24.com
1d
How Alberta separatism went from fringe cause to referendum
wboc.com
1d
Alberta referendum expected to bring finality , but also more questions on separation
globalnews.ca
1d
Independence supporters rally outside Alberta's legislature Saturday
CBC
1d
The Alberta referendum in focus: FP Video Explores
Financial Post
1d
Support for remaining in Canada rises ahead of Alberta referendum, new poll finds
CTV News
1d
The Alberta voters who want leverage – but not independence
The Globe and Mail
1d
Canada’s Mark Carney makes final appeal against Alberta separation ahead of referendum
NBC News
1d
Alberta Secession Referendum Draws Huge Turnout in Early Voting
Bloomberg.com
2d
Smith, Carney rally support for Alberta to remain in Canada ahead of referendum
The Globe and Mail
2d
PM Carney urges Alberta to vote to remain in Canada: ‘A decisive result will settle this question’
CTV News
2d
Alberta separation referendum nears as PM Carney, Premier Smith urge voters to stay in Canada
CP24
2d
Carney, Smith urge Alberta to stay in Canada ahead of referendum
Barrie 360
2d
Canadian Prime Minister Carney and Alberta premier unite against separation ahead of referendum
Bozeman Daily Chronicle
2d
UCP divisions over Alberta separation question come into focus ahead of referendum
CTV News
2d
INTRO Q1. Base=Alberta Single choice As you may know, there will be a referendum in Alberta on Oct. 19 asking voters a series of
Angus Reid Institute Canada
2d
Poilievre urges Alberta to remain in Canada | CTV News Calgary Noon Update for Oct. 16, 2026
CTV News
2d
Alberta Referendum: ‘Remain’ continues to lead by a wide margin but few believe separation issue will end on Oct. 19
Angus Reid Institute Canada
2d
Alberta referendum 2026: Should the province stay in Canada? Have your say
Yahoo News Canada
2d
Pre-referendum, Alberta Premier says 'Let's remain in Canada while securing greater autonomy'
Toronto Sun
2d
The vote that could redraw Canada: Everything you need to know about Alberta's referendum
TRT World
2d
Carney Rallies Remain Vote in Alberta as Crucial Referendum Nears
Bloomberg.com
3d
How will Smith ‘close this Pandora’s box that she opened’ if Alberta votes to remain?
CP24
3d
What does Alberta's referendum on separation from Canada mean?
Reuters
3d
Indigenous leaders urge vote to remain in Canada ahead of Alberta referendum
Windspeaker.com
3d
Should Alberta remain a province of Canada?
CTV News
4d
Vast majority of Calgary and Edmonton residents would vote for Alberta to remain: poll
CityNews Calgary
4d
Carney to meet with cabinet ahead of ‘remain’ rallies in Alberta
The Hill Times
5d
Carney to attend ‘Forever Canadian’ rallies in Alberta days before referendum
CityNews Calgary
5d
Avnish Nanda: Let’s crush Alberta separatism together; vote remain and no to the nine.
Substack
6d
Canadian Prime Minister Carney makes case for Canadian unity as Alberta referendum nears
AP News
6d
‘Not as long as I’m premier’: Danielle Smith rules out 2nd separation referendum if Albertans vote to remain
Radio-Canada

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

AI analysts

Full research · updated 2h ago

What decides it

Resolves to the 'Remain' bracket of 20–40% if Remain wins Question 10 with a margin (Remain % minus Leave % of valid votes) between 20 and 40 points, once the result is official. If Leave gets more votes, it resolves 'Leave wins'. Margins exactly on a bracket edge go to the higher bracket.

Latest

The referendum is on 2026-10-19. Question 10 asks whether Alberta should remain a province or begin the legal process toward a binding separation referendum.
en.wikipedia.org +3today
2026-10 (latest): An Ipsos poll had 70% choosing Remain and 20% choosing to start the separation process, a 50-point gap among respondents. Undecideds are not split out. (search summary)
researchco.catoday
2026-10 (latest): The Angus Reid Institute found 60% voting No on the official question and 35% Yes. That is a 25-point gap, and 51% called the question confusing. Its simpler stay/leave question gave 67% stay and 30% leave.
en.wikipedia.org +3today
I found no results yet.
en.wikipedia.org +3today
Research Co. found fewer than a quarter of Alberta voters side with separation.
en.wikipedia.org +3Aug 31

What to watch next Referendum vote on 2026-10-19, with results from Elections Alberta that night. The market resolves once the count is official.

Sources

Research, not advice.

AI analysts' average

27%

14 pts above the market · 7 AI analysts

Top traders

Polymarket's top 50 traders in this topic by 3-month profit, then the next profitable ones · updated 2h ago

Top tradersNone of the top 50 traders hold this market.Profitable traders2 profitable traders hold this2 Yes · 0 No

See who they are, their side and latest moves.

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Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?

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What decides it

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Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?

1News

2AI analysts

What decides it

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3Top traders

Related Markets

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