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Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPENCloses Nov 5, 2026Research 1h ago

65% chance

−0.2 pts 24hAI analysts 60% (1)
Polymarket priceAI analysts' average 60%

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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.

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Polymarket price · live

Yes65¢
No35¢
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  • AI analysts60% · 5 pts below
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
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