3rd richest person on December 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 06:35 UTCCloses Jan 3, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $255

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 11 options

Bernard Arnault 47%Elon Musk 45%Steve Ballmer 41%Jensen Huang 39%

11 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Bernard Arnault47%———

Elon Musk45%———

Steve Ballmer41%———

Jensen Huang39%———

Warren Buffett38%———

Jeff Bezos33%———

Larry Page26%———

Mark Zuckerberg21%———

Sergey Brin10%———

Larry Ellison9%———

Michael Dell<1%———

11 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 11 options

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.