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Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $50

Polymarket chance · the 3 levels nearest 50%

December 31 9%November 30 6%October 31 3%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

3 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
October 313%———
November 306%———
December 319%———

3 open levels, in level order.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abdul-Malik al-Houthi ceases to be the leader of the Houthis (Ansar Allah) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abdul-Malik al-Houthi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abdul-Malik al-Houthi and the Houthis (Ansar Allah); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.