Alaska Senator sworn in by January 5?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 23:34 UTCCloses Jan 6, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $20

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Alaska Senator sworn in by January 5? 55%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

1 level open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Alaska Senator sworn in by January 5?55%———

1 open level, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 1 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is sworn in into office as a United States Senator representing the seat currently held by Dan Sullivan (Class II) on or before January 5, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate is considered sworn in when the oath of office is administered to them on the floor of the United States Senate, as recorded in the Congressional Record. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Senate, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is sworn in into office as a United States Senator representing the seat currently held by Dan Sullivan (Class II) on or before January 5, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate is considered sworn in when the oath of office is administered to them on the floor of the United States Senate, as recorded in the Congressional Record. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Senate, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.