AP calls the Senate by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 07:35 UTCCloses Jan 5, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $518.2

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

November 4, 3:59 AM 56%November 3, 11:59 PM 44%November 4, 12:59 AM 58%November 4, 11:59 PM 63%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

10 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

November 3, 10:59 PM16%———

November 3, 11:59 PM44%———

November 4, 12:59 AM58%———

November 4, 3:59 AM56%———

November 4, 11:59 PM63%———

November 6, 11:59 PM80%———

November 13, 11:59 PM82%———

November 18, 11:59 PM86%———

December 2, 11:59 PM95%———

January 4, 11:59 PM98%———

10 open levels, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 10 options

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET). Otherwise it will resolve to “No”. Only calls that Senate control has been determined will qualify. Individual race calls that do not state that Senate control has been determined will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET). Otherwise it will resolve to “No”. Only calls that Senate control has been determined will qualify. Individual race calls that do not state that Senate control has been determined will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.