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Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $454.6

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 18 options

Javier Milei 62%Axel Kicillof 21%Daniel Hadad 11%Juan Grabois 9%

18 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Javier Milei62%———
Axel Kicillof21%———
Daniel Hadad11%———
Juan Grabois9%———
Mauricio Macri8%———
Karina Milei6%———
Cristina Fernández de Kirchner6%———
Patricia Bullrich5%———
Guillermo Moreno4%———
Myriam Bregman4%———
Sergio Massa3%———
Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro3%———
Facundo Manes3%———
Juan Schiaretti<1%———
Esteban Bullrich<1%———
Victoria Villarruel<1%———
Dante Gebel<1%———
Nicolás del Caño<1%———

18 options trading, by chance.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Argentine government, specifically the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).