Bitcoin above ___ on November 4?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 18:32 UTCLast trade · 21m agoCloses Nov 4, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $31.6

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

70,000 99%72,000 98%74,000 95%76,000 89%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

11 levels open

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

70,00099%———

72,00098%———

74,00095%———

76,00089%———

78,00077%———

80,00059%———

82,00039%———

84,00022%———

86,00011%———

88,0005%———

90,0003%———

11 options trading.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 11 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.