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Bundesliga: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $509.5

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

SC Freiburg 38%FSV Mainz 05 30%TSG Hoffenheim 21%RB Leipzig 20%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

18 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
SC Freiburg38%———
FSV Mainz 0530%———
TSG Hoffenheim21%———
RB Leipzig20%———
Union Berlin18%———
Bayer Leverkusen17%———
SV Elversberg16%———
Eintracht Frankfurt15%———
FC Augsburg14%———
Borussia Dortmund13%———
Borussia Mönchengladbach13%———
Werder Bremen10%———
VfB Stuttgart9%———
1. FC Köln9%———
SC Paderborn7%———
Schalke 046%———
Hamburger SV4%———
Bayern Munich4%———

18 options trading, by chance.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League through the 2026-27 Bundesliga season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Bundesliga league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Bundesliga standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled or postponed past June 6, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.