'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 00:34 UTCCloses Nov 21, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $0

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

45k+ 50%55k+ 50%65k+ 50%75k+ 50%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

5 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

45k+50%———

55k+50%———

65k+50%———

75k+50%———

85k+50%———

5 open levels, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

"Carnaval de Luz" (U2 / Interscope Records) is expected to release November 13, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the debut week sales for "Carnaval de Luz", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the album has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: "Carnaval de Luz" (U2 / Interscope Records) is expected to release November 13, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the debut week sales for "Carnaval de Luz", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the album has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.