Ed Davey out as Liberal Democrats Leader by December 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 07:35 UTCCloses Dec 31, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $0

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Ed Davey out as Liberal Democrats Leader by December 31? 8%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

1 level open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Ed Davey out as Liberal Democrats Leader by December 31?8%———

1 open level, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 1 options

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ed Davey ceases to be Leader of the Liberal Democrats for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ed Davey's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ed Davey and the Liberal Democrats; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ed Davey ceases to be Leader of the Liberal Democrats for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ed Davey's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ed Davey and the Liberal Democrats; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.