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French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $7.4K

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 16 options

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 37%Édouard Philippe 28%David Lisnard 17%Marine Le Pen 10%

16 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37%———
Édouard Philippe28%———
David Lisnard17%———
Marine Le Pen10%———
Raphaël Glucksmann8%———
François Hollande2%———
Bruno Retailleau1%———
Christine Lagarde<1%———
Sébastien Lecornu<1%———
Jordan Bardella<1%———
Gabriel Attal<1%———
Dominique de Villepin<1%———
Éric Zemmour<1%———
Sarah Knafo<1%———
François Ruffin<1%———
Marine Tondelier<1%———

16 options trading, by chance.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).