French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 07:35 UTCCloses Apr 18, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $641

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 16 options

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 33%Édouard Philippe 24%David Lisnard 16%Raphaël Glucksmann 15%

16 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Jean-Luc Mélenchon33%———

Édouard Philippe24%———

David Lisnard16%———

Raphaël Glucksmann15%———

Gabriel Attal7%———

Marine Le Pen4%———

Bruno Retailleau3%———

Sarah Knafo2%———

Jordan Bardella2%———

François Hollande1%———

Dominique de Villepin1%———

Christine Lagarde<1%———

François Ruffin<1%———

Éric Zemmour<1%———

Marine Tondelier<1%———

Sébastien Lecornu<1%———

16 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 16 options

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).