Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 10:34 UTCCloses Nov 24, 2025Polymarket 24h vol $880.3

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 12 options

Fernando Dias da Costa 9%Umaro Sissoco Embaló 7%João Bernardo Vieira 3%José Mário Vaz 2%

12 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Fernando Dias da Costa9%———

Umaro Sissoco Embaló7%———

João Bernardo Vieira3%———

José Mário Vaz2%———

Mário da Silva Júnior2%———

Siga Batista2%———

Honório Augusto Lopes1%———

Herculano Armando Bequinsa1%———

João de Deus Mendes<1%———

Gabriel Fernando Indi<1%———

Mamadu Iaia Djaló<1%———

Baciro Djá<1%———

12 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).