MarketsPolitics
House Majority Leader of the next Congress?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $2.8K
Katherine Clark 82%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9%Hakeem Jeffries 5%Steve Scalise 5%
10 options · in level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Katherine Clark82%———
Pete Aguilar3%———
Hakeem Jeffries5%———
Joe Neguse4%———
Ted Lieu4%———
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9%———
Steve Scalise5%———
Jim Jordan5%———
Tom Emmer4%———
Lisa McClain4%———
10 open levels, in level order.
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Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the first individual selected to be Majority Leader of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th United States Congress, which is scheduled to convene in January 2027 following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.