House Minority Leader of the next Congress?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 00:34 UTCCloses Nov 4, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $354.5

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 9 options

Jim Jordan 37%Mike Johnson 27%Hakeem Jeffries 23%Steve Scalise 21%

9 options · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Hakeem Jeffries23%———

Katherine Clark19%———

Jim Jordan37%———

Steve Scalise21%———

Mike Johnson27%———

Tom Emmer21%———

Lisa McClain19%———

Kevin Hern20%———

Blake Moore21%———

9 open levels, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 9 options

This market will resolve according to the first individual selected to be Minority Leader of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th United States Congress, which is scheduled to convene in January 2027 following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the first individual selected to be Minority Leader of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th United States Congress, which is scheduled to convene in January 2027 following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.