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How high will Bitcoin's fee share get in November?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $0

Polymarket chance · the 3 levels nearest 50%

3% 51%2% 51%1% 51%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

3 levels open

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
3%51%———
2%51%———
1%51%———

3 options trading.

AI analysts

The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the "Fees / Total block income (%)" value displayed for any day during the specified month on the Bitbo Fees Percent of Reward chart is equal to or greater than the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The value for a day is read by mousing over that day on the chart. A daily datapoint is considered finalized once the datapoint for the following day is published. At that point, the prior day's value is considered finalized. Only finalized daily datapoints will be considered for the resolution of this market. This market will resolve as soon as a finalized datapoint meets the listed percentage, or once the datapoint for the final day of the specified month is finalized. If any daily datapoint for the specified month remains unpublished 2 calendar days (ET) after the end of the month, this market will resolve based on the finalized datapoints published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to Bitbo differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized datapoint has met or exceeded the listed percentage, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions. The resolution source for this market is the "Fees / Total block income (%)" series on the Bitbo Fees Percent of Reward chart at https://charts.bitbo.io/fees-percent-of-reward/. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the values displayed on Bitbo. Independently calculated fee-to-revenue ratios or values from other sources will not be considered for the resolution of this market.