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How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $0

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 10 options

400-500k 61%500-600k 13%300-400k 10%200-300k 4%

10 options

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
<200k2%———
200-300k4%———
300-400k10%———
400-500k61%———
500-600k13%———
600-700k2%———
700-800k1%———
800-900k1%———
900k-1m3%———
>1m2%———

10 options trading.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.