How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 08:35 UTCCloses Nov 1, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $263.3

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 5 options

<14 98%15 17%16 16%14 4%

5 options · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

<1498%———

144%———

1517%———

1616%———

17+<1%———

5 open levels, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches. In the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches. In the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.