Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 10:35 UTCCloses Oct 31, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $5.9

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31? 3%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

1 level open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?3%———

1 open level, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 1 options

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.