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Human moon landing in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $5

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Human moon landing in 2026? 1%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

1 level open

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Human moon landing in 2026?1%———

1 option trading.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.