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Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $0

Polymarket chance · the 3 levels nearest 50%

November 30 32%December 31 28%October 31 6%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

3 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
October 316%———
November 3032%———
December 3128%———

3 open levels, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hung Cao is confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hung Cao's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Secretary of the Navy for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Hung Cao's service as Acting Secretary of the Navy will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.