Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

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Polymarket prices · as of 07:35 UTCCloses Jan 1, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $0

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? 6%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

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Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?6%———

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Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.