Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 08:35 UTCCloses Jan 1, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $198.2

Polymarket chance · the 2 levels nearest 50%

December 31 50%October 31 20%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

2 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

December 3150%———

October 3120%———

2 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jonathan Powell ceases to be the UK National Security Adviser for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Powell's resignation, removal, or other formal departure from this position before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/departure goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jonathan Powell or the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jonathan Powell ceases to be the UK National Security Adviser for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Powell's resignation, removal, or other formal departure from this position before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/departure goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jonathan Powell or the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.