MarketsElections
Laurier—Sainte-Marie By-Election Winner
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $0
Guy Cormier 71%Zumretay Arkin 36%Mathieu Fournier 34%Nimâ Machouf 34%
4 options · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Guy Cormier71%———
Zumretay Arkin36%———
Mathieu Fournier34%———
Nimâ Machouf34%———
4 options trading, by chance.
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Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Laurier—Sainte-Marie is currently scheduled to be held on December 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Laurier—Sainte-Marie by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).