Skip to content
MarketsPolitics

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $8.3K

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 23 options

Rafael López Aliaga 78%Francis James Allison Oyague 4%Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca <1%Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli <1%

23 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Rafael López Aliaga78%———
Francis James Allison Oyague4%———
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca<1%———
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli<1%———
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León<1%———
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo<1%———
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera<1%———
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino<1%———
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra<1%———
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez<1%———
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero<1%———
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo<1%———
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay<1%———
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés<1%———
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez<1%———
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar<1%———
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza<1%———
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype<1%———
Segundo Valdez Zavala<1%———
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero<1%———
Yehude Simón Munaro<1%———
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué<1%———
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega<1%———

23 options trading, by chance.

Rules

Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).