Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 08:35 UTCCloses Jul 1, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $1.8K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Dec 31, 2026 76%Oct 31, 2026 11%Feb 28, 2027 94%Apr 30, 2027 94%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

5 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Oct 31, 202611%———

Dec 31, 202676%———

Feb 28, 202794%———

Apr 30, 202794%———

Jun 30, 202797%———

5 open levels, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager. The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier. If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager. The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier. If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.