Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 08:35 UTCCloses Jan 1, 2028Polymarket 24h vol $491

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 13 options

No Next Chancellor before 2028 65%Hendrik Wüst 14%Alice Weidel 5%Boris Pistorius 4%

13 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

No Next Chancellor before 202865%———

Hendrik Wüst14%———

Alice Weidel5%———

Boris Pistorius4%———

Markus Söder4%———

Lars Klingbeil<1%———

Carsten Linnemann<1%———

Felix Banaszak<1%———

Jens Spahn<1%———

Tino Chrupalla<1%———

Katharina Dröge<1%———

Heidi Reichinnek<1%———

Sahra Wagenknecht<1%———

13 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 13 options

Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.