Next Israeli election called by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 22:34 UTCCloses Jan 1, 2028Polymarket 24h vol $0

Polymarket chance · the 3 levels nearest 50%

December 31, 2026 51%March 31, 2027 51%December 31, 2027 53%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

3 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

December 31, 202651%———

March 31, 202751%———

December 31, 202753%———

3 open levels, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a legislative snap election is called in Israel between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a legislative snap election requires the formal dissolution of the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, or any other formal scheduling, according to Israeli law, of a new election for all members of the Knesset, other than the next regularly scheduled Knesset election. An election called before the 26th Knesset convenes, including a repeat of the October 27, 2026 election, will also qualify; re-votes limited to individual polling stations will not. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The election need not take place by the deadline. Once a qualifying election is formally called, its subsequent cancellation or postponement will not affect resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a legislative snap election is called in Israel between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a legislative snap election requires the formal dissolution of the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, or any other formal scheduling, according to Israeli law, of a new election for all members of the Knesset, other than the next regularly scheduled Knesset election. An election called before the 26th Knesset convenes, including a repeat of the October 27, 2026 election, will also qualify; re-votes limited to individual polling stations will not. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The election need not take place by the deadline. Once a qualifying election is formally called, its subsequent cancellation or postponement will not affect resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.