Next Mayor of Cape Town?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 07:35 UTCCloses Nov 5, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $0

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 16 options

Geordin Hill-Lewis 96%Roger Solomons 2%Ernest Theron 1%Nontando Nolutshungu 1%

16 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Geordin Hill-Lewis96%———

Roger Solomons2%———

Ernest Theron1%———

Nontando Nolutshungu1%———

Khalid Sayed<1%———

Mareldia Chowglay<1%———

Lwazi Pakade<1%———

Zelda Tarntaal<1%———

Brett Herron<1%———

Cheslyn Steenberg<1%———

Ellen Pakkies<1%———

Ndithini Tyhido<1%———

Luvuyo Zondani<1%———

Jeremiah Thuynsma<1%———

Fiona Abrahams<1%———

Dereleen James<1%———

16 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 16 options

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.