Skip to content
MarketsPolitics

Next Premier of Victoria

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $559

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 15 options

Jess Wilson 88%Ben Carroll 10%Warren Pickering 3%Danny O'Brien 2%

15 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Jess Wilson88%———
Ben Carroll10%———
Warren Pickering3%———
Danny O'Brien2%———
Sonya Kilkenny2%———
Gabrielle Williams2%———
Ellen Sandell<1%———
Jacinta Allan<1%———
David Southwick<1%———
Emma Kealy<1%———
James Newbury<1%———
Jaclyn Symes<1%———
Steve Dimopoulos<1%———
Brad Battin<1%———
Sam Groth<1%———

15 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 15 options

Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.