Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 08:35 UTCCloses Nov 8, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $2.2K

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 7 options

Christopher Luxon 58%Chris Hipkins 43%David Seymour <1%Carmel Sepuloni <1%

7 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Christopher Luxon58%———

Chris Hipkins43%———

David Seymour<1%———

Carmel Sepuloni<1%———

Winston Peters<1%———

Nicola Willis<1%———

Chlöe Swarbrick<1%———

7 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 7 options

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.