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Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $849.2

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 10 options

Lana Nusseibeh 38%Olara Otunnu 26%Rebeca Grynspan 10%Rafael Grossi 10%

10 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Lana Nusseibeh38%———
Olara Otunnu26%———
Rebeca Grynspan10%———
Rafael Grossi10%———
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett5%———
Michelle Bachelet3%———
María Fernanda Espinosa3%———
Viktor Orbán2%———
Macky Sall2%———
Ivonne de Baki<1%———

10 options trading, by chance.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.