Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 09:34 UTCCloses Apr 1, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $26.4

Polymarket chance · the 2 levels nearest 50%

March 31, 2027 23%December 31, 2026 8%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

2 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

December 31, 20268%———

March 31, 202723%———

2 open levels, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.