New York City Marathon 2026: American Winner?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 03:34 UTCCloses Nov 2, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $0

Polymarket chance · the 2 levels nearest 50%

Men's 50%Women's 50%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

2 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Men's50%———

Women's50%———

2 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an athlete representing the United States wins the listed division (Men's Open Division or Women's Open Division) of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Country designation will be determined by the official results. If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if an athlete representing the United States wins the listed division (Men's Open Division or Women's Open Division) of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Country designation will be determined by the official results. If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.