New York City Marathon 2026: Men's Winner

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 03:34 UTCCloses Nov 2, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $0

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 42 options

Benson Kipruto 50%Deresa Geleta 50%CyBrian Kotut 50%Zouhair Talbi 50%

42 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Benson Kipruto50%———

Deresa Geleta50%———

CyBrian Kotut50%———

Zouhair Talbi50%———

Abdi Nageeye50%———

Geoffrey Kamworor50%———

Iliass Aouani50%———

Huseydin Mohamed Esa50%———

Conner Mantz50%———

Kengo Suzuki50%———

Yemaneberhan Crippa50%———

Edward Cheserek50%———

Ryota Kondo50%———

Ryan Ford50%———

Joe Klecker50%———

Peter Lynch50%———

Patrick Dever50%———

Haftu Strintzos50%———

Jack Rowe50%———

Casey Clinger50%———

Kamohelo Mofolo50%———

Sam Chelanga50%———

JP Flavin50%———

Jared Ward50%———

Turner Wiley50%———

Andrew Colley50%———

Robert Miranda50%———

Joel Reichow50%———

Aidan Troutner50%———

JP Trojan50%———

Paul Chelimo50%———

Stephen Jones50%———

Mo Bati50%———

Aidan Reed50%———

Owen Ritz50%———

James Nipperess50%———

Merga Gemeda50%———

Alec Baldwin50%———

Ryan Cutter50%———

Andreas Almgren50%———

Patrick Kiprop50%———

Ahmed Muhumed50%———

42 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 42 options

This market will resolve according to the athlete who wins the Men's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the official results declare a tie for first place, this market will resolve to "Other". If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the athlete who wins the Men's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the official results declare a tie for first place, this market will resolve to "Other". If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.