New York City Marathon 2026: Top American Man

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 03:34 UTCCloses Nov 2, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $0

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 23 options

Zouhair Talbi 49%Conner Mantz 49%Ryan Ford 49%Joe Klecker 49%

23 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Zouhair Talbi49%———

Conner Mantz49%———

Ryan Ford49%———

Joe Klecker49%———

Casey Clinger49%———

Sam Chelanga49%———

JP Flavin49%———

Jared Ward49%———

Turner Wiley49%———

Andrew Colley49%———

Robert Miranda49%———

Joel Reichow49%———

Aidan Troutner49%———

JP Trojan49%———

Paul Chelimo49%———

Stephen Jones49%———

Mo Bati49%———

Aidan Reed49%———

Owen Ritz49%———

Merga Gemeda49%———

Alec Baldwin49%———

Ryan Cutter49%———

Ahmed Muhumed49%———

23 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 23 options

This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Men's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results. If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other". If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Men's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results. If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other". If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.