New York City Marathon 2026: Top American Woman

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 03:34 UTCCloses Nov 2, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $0

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 18 options

Jessica McClain 49%Annie Frisbie 49%Fiona O'Keeffe 49%Carrie Ellwood 49%

18 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Jessica McClain49%———

Annie Frisbie49%———

Fiona O'Keeffe49%———

Carrie Ellwood49%———

Erika Kemp49%———

Amanda Vestri49%———

Lauren Hagans49%———

Paige Wood49%———

Steph Bruce49%———

Roberta Groner49%———

Megan O'Neil49%———

Monica Hebner49%———

Brooke Starn49%———

Alosha Southern49%———

Keelah Barger49%———

Maddie Block49%———

Cailie Hughes49%———

Weini Kelati49%———

18 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 18 options

This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results. If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other". If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results. If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other". If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.