NZ Election: Opportunity Party # of seats?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 20:35 UTCCloses Nov 8, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $20

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 5 options

7-9 62%10-12 33%<4 26%13+ 20%

5 options · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

<426%———

4-617%———

7-962%———

10-1233%———

13+20%———

5 open levels, in level order.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Opportunity Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Opportunity Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Opportunity Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Opportunity Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).