Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 08:35 UTCLast trade · 26m agoCloses Mar 15, 2027Polymarket 24h vol $4K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

The Baddest Speechwriter of All 85%A Derailment 69%One Last Order 55%Listen 43%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

10 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

The Baddest Speechwriter of All85%———

A Derailment69%———

One Last Order55%———

Water Cooler50%———

Oh Whale44%———

Listen43%———

We're Fine33%———

A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil30%———

The Tuners28%———

A Wolf in the Suburbs25%———

10 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 10 options

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.