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Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 27m agoPolymarket 24h vol $3.8K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Magan's Fare 69%Mary is Missing 58%Pale Sun 40%Agapito 32%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

10 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Magan's Fare69%———
Mary is Missing58%———
Pale Sun40%———
Nightfaces34%———
Agapito32%———
Meeting Your Maker30%———
Spilled Milk21%———
The Birthday Gift6%———
32B6%———
The Man That I Wave At5%———

10 options trading, by chance.

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Resolution criteria
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.