Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 07:35 UTCCloses Dec 1, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $5.8K

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? 20%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

1 level open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?20%———

1 option trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 1 options

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.