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Prabowo Subianto out as President of Indonesia by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $383.1

Polymarket chance · the 2 levels nearest 50%

June 30, 2027 11%December 31 5%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

2 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
December 315%———
June 30, 202711%———

2 open levels, in level order.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Prabowo Subianto ceases to be President of the Republic of Indonesia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Prabowo Subianto's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Prabowo Subianto and the government of Indonesia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.