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Pro Football: First QB to 2,000 Passing Yards

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $1.4K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Jordan Love 98%Bryce Young 32%Josh Allen 2%Geno Smith 2%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

33 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Jordan Love98%———
Bryce Young32%———
Josh Allen2%———
Geno Smith2%———
Jared Goff2%———
Patrick Mahomes2%———
Caleb Williams2%———
Brock Purdy1%———
Dak Prescott1%———
Lamar Jackson1%———
Deshaun Watson1%———
Matthew Stafford1%———
Aaron Rodgers<1%———
Joe Burrow<1%———
Jaxson Dart<1%———
Tyler Shough<1%———
Justin Herbert<1%———
Bo Nix<1%———
Cameron Ward<1%———
Daniel Jones<1%———
Jacoby Brissett<1%———
Sam Darnold<1%———
Malik Willis<1%———
Kirk Cousins<1%———
Kyler Murray<1%———
Trevor Lawrence<1%———
Jalen Hurts<1%———
C.J. Stroud<1%———
Baker Mayfield<1%———
Drake Maye<1%———
Jayden Daniels<1%———
Fernando Mendoza<1%———
Michael Penix Jr.<1%———

33 options trading, by chance.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is the first quarterback to reach 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". A player reaches 2,000 passing yards at the moment his cumulative 2026-27 NFL regular season passing yards total equals or exceeds 2,000. Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If two or more quarterbacks reach 2,000 passing yards within the same game, or in separate games that have the same scheduled kickoff time, the market for each such player who reaches the mark will resolve to "Yes". If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined which quarterback first reached 2,000 passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.