Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 09:34 UTCCloses Nov 4, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $3.4K

Polymarket chance · the 2 levels nearest 50%

Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 35%Oil < $80; R Senate 1%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

2 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Oil ≥ $80; R Senate35%———

Oil < $80; R Senate1%———

2 options trading, by chance.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

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