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Senate Combo: Michigan and Texas

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 15m agoPolymarket 24h vol $330

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 4 options

Reps MI, Dems TX 36%Dems sweep 37%Dems MI, Reps TX 20%Reps sweep 15%

4 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Dems sweep37%———
Reps MI, Dems TX36%———
Dems MI, Reps TX20%———
Reps sweep15%———

4 options trading, by chance.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan and Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.