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Senate Combo: Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $825.7

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 8 options

Reps sweep 39%Dems IA & KS, Reps NE 22%Dems IA & KS, Ind NE 22%Dems IA, Reps KS & NE 11%

8 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Reps sweep39%———
Dems IA & KS, Reps NE22%———
Dems IA & KS, Ind NE22%———
Dems IA, Reps KS & NE11%———
Dems IA, Reps KS, Ind NE7%———
Reps IA & KS, Ind NE5%———
Reps IA & NE, Dems KS3%———
Reps IA, Dems KS, Ind NE3%———

8 options trading, by chance.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Iowa, Kansas, and Nebraska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. Because no Democratic candidate is on the ballot in Nebraska, the Nebraska race is represented by “Republican” and “Independent” (Ind) options. The “Independent” option refers to a win by a candidate running as an independent in the Nebraska Senate election. For purposes of this market, Dan Osborn will be considered to be an Independent regardless of any affiliation that he may have with any party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins the Iowa or Kansas election, or a third-party candidate wins the Nebraska election, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.