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Senate Combo: Mississippi, South Carolina, Montana

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $689.1

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 8 options

Reps sweep 72%Reps MS & MT, Dems SC 14%Dems MS & SC, Reps MT 12%Dems MS, Reps SC, Ind MT 4%

8 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Reps sweep72%———
Reps MS & MT, Dems SC14%———
Dems MS & SC, Reps MT12%———
Dems MS, Reps SC, Ind MT4%———
Reps MS, Dems SC, Ind MT3%———
Dems MS & SC, Ind MT3%———
Dems MS, Reps SC & MT3%———
Reps MS & SC, Ind MT1%———

8 options trading, by chance.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Mississippi, South Carolina, and Montana that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The Montana race is represented by “Republican” and “Independent” (Ind) options. The “Independent” option refers to a win by a candidate running as an independent in the Montana Senate election. For purposes of this market, Seth Bodnar will be considered to be an Independent regardless of any affiliation that he may have with any party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins the Mississippi or South Carolina election, or the Democratic nominee or a third-party candidate wins the Montana election, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.