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Short Course Worlds 2026: World Records Broken?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $0

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Men's 100m Freestyle 50%Men's 50m Freestyle 50%Women's 100m Butterfly 50%Women's 100m Backstroke 50%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

4 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Men's 100m Freestyle50%———
Men's 50m Freestyle50%———
Women's 100m Butterfly50%———
Women's 100m Backstroke50%———

4 open levels, in level order.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any swimmer sets a new short course (25m) world record in the listed event at the 2026 World Aquatics Swimming Championships (25m), scheduled for December 1-6, 2026 in Beijing, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A time swum in any round of the listed individual event (heats, semi-finals, or final), or as the lead-off leg of a relay at these championships, will qualify if World Aquatics recognizes it as a new world record. Formal ratification is not required; official results or an official World Aquatics announcement that mark the time as a world record will suffice. Times swum at any other competition will not count. If the listed event is not held at the championships by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from World Aquatics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.